BLOB AI TRADER

PREDICTION ENGINE

HOW OUR INTELLIGENCE SYSTEM WORKS

1

A background service continuously fetches and analyzes data across 16 intelligence categories (macroeconomic indicators, central bank policy, geopolitical events, options flow, insider transactions, short interest, and more). Market sentiment and breaking news refresh every hour; all other categories refresh every 4 hours. Each refresh uses an AI that reads multiple sources and produces a concise market-relevant summary.

2

When a user requests a stock analysis, the system retrieves the latest intelligence summaries from all 16 categories. These summaries represent the current state of the global economic and market landscape.

3

That context is injected into the AI prompt alongside the stock's specific data (price history, technicals, S&P 500 benchmark comparison, earnings proximity alerts, and short-term patterns). This means the AI doesn't analyze the stock in isolation — it considers macro trends, policy shifts, geopolitical risks, options flow, insider activity, short interest, and sector dynamics to produce a more informed and contextualized prediction.

Below is a complete breakdown of every data point and source our system considers.

01 MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
WHAT WE TRACK
  • GDP growth rate (quarterly & annual)
  • Inflation rate (CPI, PPI, PCE)
  • Interest rates & central bank decisions
  • Unemployment rate & jobless claims
  • Money supply (M1, M2)
  • Trade balance & current account deficit
  • Consumer confidence index
  • Manufacturing & services PMI
  • Retail sales data
  • Housing starts & building permits
RESOURCES
  • fred.stlouisfed.org — Federal Reserve Economic Data
  • bls.gov — US Bureau of Labor Statistics (jobs, CPI)
  • bea.gov — Bureau of Economic Analysis (GDP, PCE)
  • imf.org/en/Data — Global economic data
  • worldbank.org/en/research — World development indicators
  • tradingeconomics.com — All countries' indicators in one place
  • oecd.org/statistics — OECD member country data
02 CENTRAL BANK & MONETARY POLICY
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Fed Funds Rate decisions (US)
  • FOMC meeting minutes & statements
  • Quantitative easing/tightening programs
  • Forward guidance language
  • ECB, BOJ, BOE, PBOC decisions
  • Yield curve shape (normal vs. inverted)
  • Treasury auction results
RESOURCES
  • federalreserve.gov — Fed statements, minutes, Beige Book
  • ecb.europa.eu — European Central Bank
  • bankofengland.co.uk — Bank of England
  • boj.or.jp/en — Bank of Japan
  • cmegroup.com/fedwatch — FedWatch tool (rate hike probability)
  • treasury.gov — Treasury yields & auctions
03 POLITICAL & ELECTORAL EVENTS
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Election calendars (local, national, global)
  • Polling data & prediction markets
  • Policy platforms of candidates
  • Legislative agendas & bill tracking
  • Regulatory appointments (SEC chair, Fed nominees)
  • Congressional committee hearings
  • Executive orders & regulatory rulings
  • Sanctions announcements
RESOURCES
  • congress.gov — All US bills, laws, committee activities
  • federalregister.gov — All US regulatory changes
  • politico.com — Policy & political news
  • thehill.com — US political news
  • elections.intldemocracy.org — Global election calendar
  • electionguide.org — Worldwide upcoming elections
  • polymarket.com — Prediction markets
  • realclearpolitics.com — Polling aggregator
04 GEOPOLITICAL RISK & CONFLICTS
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Active military conflicts & flashpoints
  • Diplomatic relations & sanctions
  • Trade wars & tariff changes
  • Territorial disputes
  • Alliance shifts (NATO, BRICS, etc.)
  • Terrorist activity indexes
  • Nuclear threat assessments
  • Coup risks in emerging markets
RESOURCES
  • crisisgroup.org — International Crisis Group conflict tracker
  • acleddata.com — Armed Conflict Location & Event Data
  • cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker — Council on Foreign Relations
  • geopoliticalfutures.com — Geopolitical analysis
  • sanctionssearch.ofac.treas.gov — US Treasury sanctions list
05 CORPORATE FUNDAMENTALS & FILINGS
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Earnings reports (EPS, revenue, guidance)
  • Balance sheets (debt levels, cash positions)
  • Cash flow statements
  • Insider buying/selling activity
  • SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, 13-F)
  • Analyst upgrades/downgrades
  • Short interest data
  • Institutional ownership changes
  • Dividend history & payout ratios
  • Share buyback programs
RESOURCES
  • sec.gov/edgar — All US company filings (free, primary source)
  • macrotrends.net — Historical financial data, charts
  • stockanalysis.com — Free financials & ratios
  • finviz.com — Stock screener & fundamentals
  • openinsider.com — Insider trading tracker
  • fintel.io — Institutional ownership & short interest
  • 13f.info — Hedge fund 13-F filings tracker
06 INSTITUTIONAL & BIG MONEY MOVES
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Warren Buffett/Berkshire 13-F filings
  • Hedge fund quarterly disclosures
  • Sovereign wealth fund investments
  • Pension fund allocations
  • ETF fund flows
  • Options activity (unusual volume)
  • Dark pool transactions
  • Goldman, JPMorgan, BlackRock outlooks
RESOURCES
  • whalewisdom.com — Hedge fund holdings tracker
  • dataroma.com — Superinvestor portfolios
  • gurufocus.com — Guru investor portfolios
  • unusualwhales.com — Options flow & congressional trades
  • etf.com — ETF flows & holdings
  • swfinstitute.org — Sovereign wealth fund tracker
  • quiverquant.com — Congressional stock trades, lobbying data
07 CONGRESSIONAL & GOVERNMENT TRADING
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Stock trades by US senators & representatives
  • Lobbying spending by industry
  • Government contracts awarded
  • Infrastructure & spending bills
RESOURCES
  • housestockwatcher.com — House member trades
  • senatestockwatcher.com — Senate member trades
  • capitoltrades.com — Both chambers combined
  • opensecrets.org — Lobbying, campaign finance
  • usaspending.gov — Government contracts & grants
08 MARKET SENTIMENT & TECHNICAL DATA REFRESHED EVERY 1H
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Fear & Greed Index
  • VIX (volatility index)
  • Put/Call ratio
  • Advance/Decline line
  • Bull/Bear ratio (AAII survey)
  • Margin debt levels
  • Money market fund flows
  • Market breadth indicators
RESOURCES
  • money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed — Fear & Greed Index
  • cboe.com/vix — VIX data
  • aaii.com/sentimentsurvey — Investor sentiment survey
  • finra.org/investors/tools — Margin statistics
  • stockcharts.com — Technical analysis tools
  • tradingview.com — Charts & technical indicators
09 SECTOR-SPECIFIC INTELLIGENCE
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Energy: oil inventory (EIA weekly), OPEC decisions, natural gas storage
  • Technology: semiconductor sales, patent filings, AI investment flows
  • Real estate: Case-Shiller index, mortgage rates, vacancy rates
  • Healthcare: FDA approvals, drug pipeline data, CMS rule changes
  • Finance: bank stress tests, credit default swaps, loan delinquency rates
  • Agriculture: USDA crop reports, weather patterns, commodity futures
RESOURCES
  • eia.gov — Energy Information Administration
  • usda.gov/topics/farming/crop-production — Crop reports
  • fda.gov/patients/drug-approvals-and-databases — FDA pipeline
  • nar.realtor/research-and-statistics — Real estate data
  • spglobal.com/spdji — S&P sector indexes
10 CURRENCY & COMMODITIES
WHAT WE TRACK
  • US Dollar Index (DXY)
  • Currency pair movements (USD/CNY, EUR/USD)
  • Gold & silver prices
  • Oil & natural gas prices
  • Copper (global growth indicator)
  • Commodity futures curves
  • Crypto market cap & Bitcoin dominance
RESOURCES
  • investing.com — All currencies, commodities, futures
  • xe.com — Currency exchange rates
  • kitco.com — Precious metals
  • cmegroup.com — Futures data
  • coinmarketcap.com — Crypto market data
11 NEWS & REAL-TIME INTELLIGENCE REFRESHED EVERY 1H
RESOURCES
  • reuters.com — Financial wire service
  • bloomberg.com — Premium financial news
  • ft.com — Financial Times
  • wsj.com — Wall Street Journal
  • apnews.com — Breaking news (free)
  • seekingalpha.com — Investor-focused analysis
  • marketwatch.com — Free market news
12 RESEARCH REPORTS & THINK TANKS
RESOURCES
  • brookings.edu — Economic & policy research
  • nber.org — National Bureau of Economic Research
  • piie.com — Peterson Institute for International Economics
  • mckinsey.com/insights — Industry outlook reports
  • pwc.com/gx/en/research-and-insights — Sector reports
  • goldmansachs.com/insights — GS economic research
13 RISK & CRISIS MONITORING
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Credit rating changes (Moody's, S&P, Fitch)
  • Corporate bankruptcy filings
  • Bank failure watch
  • Climate & natural disaster risk
  • Pandemic/health risk indicators
  • Supply chain disruption indexes
RESOURCES
  • fitchratings.com — Fitch credit ratings
  • moodys.com — Moody's credit ratings
  • fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures — Bank failures
  • reliefweb.int — Global crisis & disaster tracker
  • freightwaves.com — Supply chain data
14 OPTIONS FLOW & DERIVATIVES
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Unusually large options trades (sweeps)
  • Put/call ratio changes by sector and index
  • Notable single-stock options bets (whale trades)
  • Implied volatility spikes and skew
  • Options expiration clusters (OpEx pinning)
  • Sector-wide options activity patterns
  • Dark pool options prints
RESOURCES
  • unusualwhales.com — Options flow tracker & whale alerts
  • cboe.com — Options exchange data, VIX, put/call ratios
  • optionsstrat.com — Options strategy analysis
  • barchart.com/options — Options volume & open interest
15 INSIDER TRANSACTIONS
WHAT WE TRACK
  • CEO, CFO, and director stock purchases (strong bullish signal)
  • Cluster buying — multiple insiders buying at the same company
  • Large insider sells (context-dependent — may be pre-planned)
  • SEC Form 4 filings (real-time insider trade disclosures)
  • Sector patterns in insider activity
  • Insider buy/sell ratio trends
RESOURCES
  • openinsider.com — Real-time insider trading tracker
  • sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&type=4 — SEC Form 4 filings
  • finviz.com/insidertrading.ashx — Insider trading screener
  • gurufocus.com/insider — Insider transactions by company
16 SHORT INTEREST & SHORT SELLING
WHAT WE TRACK
  • Most shorted stocks (% of float short)
  • Rising and falling short interest trends
  • Short squeeze candidates (high short interest + rising price + low float)
  • Days to cover (short interest / average daily volume)
  • Sector-level short trends
  • Cost to borrow rates (hard-to-borrow signals)
RESOURCES
  • fintel.io/ss — Short interest data & analytics
  • shortvolume.com — Daily short volume by ticker
  • highshortinterest.com — Most shorted stocks list
  • ortex.com — Real-time short interest estimates
  • nasdaqtrader.com — Official NASDAQ short interest reports
PRE-INVESTMENT DECISION CHECKLIST
  1. Macro environment — What is the rate cycle doing? Is recession risk rising?
  2. Geopolitical stability — Are there active conflicts or sanctions affecting the sector/region?
  3. Political calendar — Are upcoming elections likely to shift policy in this space?
  4. Regulatory environment — Are new rules or laws being proposed that affect this industry?
  5. Corporate health — Are earnings growing? Is debt manageable? What does insider activity say?
  6. Smart money positioning — What are institutions and gurus doing?
  7. Sentiment — Is the market fearful or greedy? Are valuations stretched?
  8. Currency & commodity exposure — How does FX or commodity prices affect this investment?
  9. Sector tailwinds/headwinds — Is this industry in a structural growth or decline phase?
  10. Options flow — Are whales placing large bets? What does the put/call ratio signal?
  11. Insider activity — Are executives buying their own stock? Any cluster buying patterns?
  12. Short interest — Is this stock heavily shorted? Is a squeeze building?
  13. Exit strategy — What are your triggers to sell (up or down)?